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The Government will close accounts for the first time in 8 years

The Ministry of Economy predicts a constructive stability of R$13.5 billion in the first 12 months of 2022

The Ministry of Economy up to date the forecast for public accounts this 12 months: from a deficit of BRL 59.3 billion to a constructive stability of BRL 13.5 billion. It represents an enchancment of R$72.9 billion in comparison with the earlier forecast. The cause: elevated tax assortment and withholding.

If confirmed, the forecast for the major revenue (not together with monetary bills) will be higher in 8 years. Since 2014, Brazil has a detrimental stability (deficit) in the accounts of the individuals. Here is the full textual content (1 MB).

Here is the first order of manufacturing, as a share of the Internal Product:

However, for the 12 months 2023, the authorities expects the nation to fall once more resulting from the enhance in bills, reminiscent of the Auxílio Brasil of R$600 and the reform of the Income Tax desk.

BLOCK THE POTATO

Despite the enchancment in income, the authorities introduced a freeze of BRL 2.6 billion in this 12 months’s Budget, bringing the whole quantity frozen to BRL 10.5 billion. Expenditure containment means sticking to the spending ceiling (regulation that limits the progress of public spending to inflation).

According to the authorities, bills have elevated in the space of ​​Social Security (pension and everlasting advantages) in the vary of R $ 8 billion.

On the different hand, there was a big lower in bills with funds, loans and Proagro (R $ – 3 billion), a discount in prices (R $ 1 billion) and excessive prices.

From the whole quantity blocked now:

  • BRL 4.13 billion – from the modification of the administrator, an quantity that the council can decide the journey;
  • BRL 3.26 billion – paid by the federal authorities;
  • BRL 474 millions – no corrections fee.

GOVERNMENT ASSESSMENT

According to the (*8*) of Finance and Finance Esteves Colnago the tax assortment is “very robust” and the subsequent report, which must be submitted in 2 months, will shock everybody.

Colnago mentioned the Union despatched R$ 464.0 billion (4.8% of GDP) to the provinces and municipalities. The share is the highest in the earlier sequence.

The authorities expects that public debt in relation to the measurement of GDP is 76.7%, which signifies a lower to 2021 (80.3% of GDP).

Colnago mentioned that BNDES will return the National Bank’s cash that was given to the financial institution earlier. Caixa Econômica Federal has to provide again just a little. He mentioned the forecast can be higher.

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